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【摩根看世界】摩根:马姆达尼击碎特朗普的美梦,社会主义能在美国“出圈”了?
Mamdani "The Socialist Shockwave"
The New Face of the Democrats: What Mamdani’s Victory Means for 2026
A wave of euphoria swept through progressive circles as Zohran Mamdani, a 34-year-old democratic socialist, clinched a stunning victory over former Governor Andrew Cuomo in New York City’s mayoral race. Mamdani’s grassroots campaign energized young voters who had long seen the Democrats as “stale and tired,” with the turnout highest among 25–35 year-olds – a sign of youthful enthusiasm powering his win. Backed by prominent left-wing figures like Senator Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC), the young assemblyman’s insurgent run toppled a party elder in what many are calling a “socialist shockwave” that handed power to the Democrats’ far-left flank. His victory, celebrated by supporters as a mandate for bold change, not only makes Mamdani the first millennial mayor of America’s largest city – it also signals a broader changing of the guard within the Democratic Party.
Mamdani’s platform – from rent freezes and free public transit to city-run grocery stores and childcare – and his status as the first Muslim and South Asian mayor of NYC, imbued the race with a historic, celebratory vibe. Crowds at his rallies were electrified by his calls to make the city more affordable and just, with AOC herself exhorting young New Yorkers that “there has been a day before [Trump’s] presidency, and there will be a day after. And it belongs to us.” Such scenes of jubilant, youthful supporters embracing a democratic socialist agenda would have been unthinkable in the city’s establishment politics a few years ago. Yet in 2025, Mamdani’s win over a well-known centrist like Cuomo – a scion of one of New York’s storied political families – has given the left wing of the party a moment to rejoice and claim momentum for a new generation.
A Blow to Trumpism
Mamdani’s victory is also a strategic setback for Trumpism. Donald Trump, though constitutionally barred from running again in 2028, has openly flirted with the idea of defying norms and attempting a return to power. To do so, he needs a Democratic Party perceived as disorganized, out of touch, and riddled with infighting. Mamdani’s win disrupts that narrative. His campaign showed that bold progressive ideas can mobilize voters at scale, particularly in working-class, immigrant, and youth-heavy constituencies often ignored by both parties.
Trump personally endorsed Andrew Cuomo in a last-ditch effort to block Mamdani, even urging Republican Curtis Sliwa to drop out. Leading Republican donors and conservative figures, including Elon Musk, threw their support behind Cuomo, hoping that a centrist Democrat would be easier to beat or control than a socialist insurgent. Their gamble failed. Mamdani not only overcame this bipartisan blockade, but he also revealed cracks in the narrative that socialism is unelectable.
The implications go beyond New York. Mamdani’s success offers a playbook for a revitalized Democratic Party: mobilize the disaffected, speak clearly about class, and build coalitions of the left-out. If this model is replicated in other cities and states, it could complicate the GOP’s 2026 midterm election strategy. A reinvigorated Democratic base, energized by younger socialist candidates, may erode Trump’s appeal among swing voters and fracture his coalition.
This fracture poses multiple threats. First, younger working-class voters who might have drifted toward right-wing populism in the past—out of disillusionment or economic desperation—are now seeing credible alternatives on the left. Second, Mamdani’s win gives oxygen to the Democratic Socialist movement, attracting not only grassroots organizers but also independent and moderate voters looking for integrity and clarity in leadership. Third, it pressures the GOP to defend suburban and urban districts it had hoped to flip, especially in states like Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Georgia, where rising costs of living are making leftist economic populism more attractive.
If Mamdani’s win inspires similar candidates to run—and win—in battleground states, the GOP may find its base pulled in two directions: one toward Trump-style grievance politics, the other toward policy-driven working-class appeals. The unity that helped Trump return to office in 2024 could splinter under the weight of this emerging counter-movement. With Republican donors already divided over the direction of the party, Mamdani’s victory raises the spectre of a 2026 cycle where GOP messaging falters in the face of a rejuvenated, class-conscious, youth-led Democratic insurgency.
The 2026 midterms are particularly critical for Trumpism because control of Congress—both the House of Representatives and the Senate—will determine the legislative environment for the second half of Trump’s term. If Democrats regain control of either chamber, they will have the power to stall or block Trump’s agenda. A Democratic House could launch investigations, hold hearings, and restrict funding for key policies. A Democratic Senate could block judicial appointments and cabinet nominations, effectively paralyzing Trump’s governance. The more seats Republicans lose, the more fragile Trump’s legislative coalition becomes. Mamdani’s victory signals a rising tide of progressive momentum that could help tip competitive districts, making the 2026 election less a referendum on Trump’s leadership and more a contest between competing futures: one rooted in populist grievance, the other in economic transformation.
Old Guard vs. New Guard: Democrats’ Internal Struggle
Mamdani’s upset did more than install a new mayor – it laid bare the “deep Democratic Party divide” that his battle with Cuomo came to symbolize. In almost cartoonishly stark terms, their clash pitted the party’s old guard versus its rising left wing, or as Cuomo himself put it, a “quiet civil war” raging among Democrats. On one side stand the moderates and traditional power-brokers – exemplified by 67-year-old Cuomo – and on the other, insurgent socialists like Mamdani, 34, who represent a younger, more radical cohort. It is a divide both ideological and generational: many older Democrats view figures like Mamdani (and by extension leaders like AOC) as too radical and untested, carrying “too much ideological baggage,” while younger progressives see establishment veterans like Cuomo as the embodiment of an exhausted, morally compromised centrism that can’t effectively beat the Republican right. “That is not my father’s Democratic Party. It’s not Bill Clinton’s Democratic Party. It’s not Barack Obama’s Democratic Party,” Cuomo lamented recently, bemoaning the party’s leftward lurch. “This is a socialist party. It would be the death of the Democratic Party” if unchecked.
Indeed, Cuomo has warned that the Democratic Party is “imploding under the weight of its own divisions,” with a civil war between moderates and socialists threatening to tear it apart. From his perspective, party leaders have “lost their identity” and spend more time banking on Trump “making a mistake” than offering a bold vision for the future. This intraparty struggle was on full display in the NYC race: after Mamdani surged to the Democratic nomination, much of the party establishment kept him at arm’s length. Notably, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer – de facto leader of the old guard – pointedly declined to endorse the Democratic nominee, Mamdani. (Schumer’s hesitation likely stemmed from Mamdani’s unabashedly left-wing stances, such as his fierce criticism of Israel’s policies – positions that made many centrist Democrats uneasy.) Meanwhile, prominent progressives like AOC rallied behind Mamdani, solidifying the sense that the Democratic Party’s youth wing was in open rebellion against its elders.
National Implications and the Road Ahead
This generational tug-of-war comes on the heels of a sobering defeat for Democrats at the national level. In 2024, Americans witnessed a presidential contest between two octogenarian candidates – and the Democrat lost. President Donald Trump won a second term in 2024, as Democratic voters ultimately rejected the status quo represented by another elderly nominee. The election was widely seen as an age problem for the party: even some loyal Democrats cringed as Joe Biden’s debate stumbles reinforced perceptions that the party’s leadership was too old and out of touch.
In the aftermath, a Democratic identity crisis has been brewing. Many in the base aren’t defecting to Republicans; rather, they’re holding out for fresh leadership and a compelling vision that speaks to their needs. Against this backdrop, the rise of young progressive stars is giving some Democrats new hope. For Democrats, there are reasons to feel optimistic about the future. Leaders like Mamdani and AOC are proving that bold left-wing ideas can energize voters.
The split in New York offers a microcosm of what’s happening nationally. Just as Mamdani’s campaign argued that Cuomo’s brand of centrist politics was incapable of defeating Trumpism, many activists nationwide believe the Democratic Party must chart a bold new course to inspire voters and counter the right’s appeal. Younger leaders with big ideas – like AOC at 36 – are seen as better suited to take on Trump-era Republican tactics.
There are signs that this transition is already underway. Across the country, a wave of retirements by aging Democratic lawmakers is creating openings for the next generation. Progressive newcomers are winning races in diverse corners of America, often inspired by the same frustrations and ideals that propelled Mamdani. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and her cohort are poised to champion the Democratic Party’s future if they can harness the grassroots energy on display in New York. At Mamdani’s victory rally, AOC’s rallying cry that the post-Trump era “belongs to us” was more than celebratory rhetoric. It was a pointed message that the torch is being passed.
Can Socialist Governance Work in New York?
If the Democrats are to find their way out of the wilderness, it may well be on the path blazed by these younger leaders who refuse to wait their turn. The stage is set for a profound generational changing of the guard – one that could redefine the Democratic Party in the years to come.
If Mamdani’s rise represents a generational shift, his next challenge will be turning youthful energy into effective governance. The “honeymoon period” of enthusiasm will soon give way to scrutiny — from the very voters who put him in power. New York, a city defined by both its restless young and its entrenched wealthy, will be watching closely to see whether his socialist agenda can deliver real change without undermining the city’s economic vitality. His success or failure will not only shape the city’s future but will test whether progressive governance can truly work in America’s great urban centres.
At the national level, the political atmosphere is also shifting. As Donald Trump said in his post-election remarks, “Americans now face a choice — between truth and common sense.” But Mamdani’s victory has already rewritten that choice. Socialism is no longer a negative word in America — it’s part of the national conversation. The voters of New York didn’t just elect a mayor; they expanded the boundaries of what American politics can imagine.
Though constitutionally ineligible to run for president because he was born in Uganda, Mamdani’s ideas and momentum could yet shape the Democratic Party’s national direction — and influence the next generation of leaders who will carry his movement forward.
On election night, standing before a roaring crowd in Queens, Mamdani turned his focus squarely toward Trumpism and the forces that opposed him. “Hold Trumpist landlords to account. Hold billionaires to account. Stand with unions and expand labour protections,” he declared. “When working people have ironclad rights, the bosses who seek to exploit them grow small. New York will remain a city of immigrants, built by immigrants, powered by immigrants — and as of tonight, led by an immigrant.”
Then, in what many are already calling the defining moment of his speech, he smiled, paused, and added:
“Yes, I am young. I am Muslim. I am a democratic socialist. And most damning of all — I refuse to apologize for any of it.”
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