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李世默:单极全球化不会再“回光返照”,彻底结束了
发言原文:
Thank you, Han Hua. Thank you, everyone. Good afternoon. It's a pleasure to be in Doha.
And so I will take just a few minutes to welcome you all, and I'm looking forward to listening to your views. So I think 2025 is... well, should I say was, almost was, 2025 was a transformative year. If we go maybe five, 10 years from now, we look back, I think we will say 2025 was probably the year where fundamental forces have really changed, the unipolar globalization that had run our lives and our countries for the last 30, 40 years, this finally really is over; and there's no more dead cat bouncing, it's finished.
Many things have happened. The trade war, we've now reached a detente between China and the U.S. and other countries with technology war. And then, of course, a few days ago, I read with great interest the new United States national security strategy, and I listened to the president's son yesterday. I wasn't here, but I listened on the screen. Boy, everything is changing, and we're not going back. So no more unipolar globalization, I'm sure. I think many people would agree.
So I think this was the year where potentially a multipolar globalization is now emerging, but we're not here to talk about what is over, we're here to talk about what's to come, what could become of this, and of course, we've always been talking about Global South was the solution, Global South get together and push forward on a new kind of globalization. So that's particularly one trend.
However, Global South, of course, is defined in opposition to the Global North. And as President Biden's men would say, small garden, tall walls; and small garden is essentially the Global North, which included two groups of countries. The first group are essentially the British Empire and four of its grandsons: America, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. And the second group are potentially Western Europe, the group of countries that, after the first division of Christianity, a thousand years ago, belong to the Western church. And there are a few on the margin, like Greece plus Japan. So that's the small garden. But the problem is, as we see before our eyes, the small gardens being blown up from inside. The US and Europe may be decoupling. So they have totally divergent views, divergent visions for the future, divergent values, divergent moralities.
So there's no more Global North, and the Global South is in play, so many very interesting trends. Of course, Asia is the biggest and the most dynamic and the most powerful part of the Global South, and Asia, I would say, has two main characteristics.
The first characteristic is that we have everything in Asia. We have everything. Each of us does not have everything, but together we have everything. America doesn't have everything, but we do. We have natural resources. China doesn't have, but many of you have. We have population. We have industrial capacity. That's our sort of trump card. We have science and technology, especially in my country. I'm in technology investment, I know that we are at the cusp of major breakouts and breakthroughs in all areas in science and technology that will surprise the world in the next just few years, maybe even a few months in everything, semiconductor, biotech, bioengineering, quantum science and technology. We have market and we have incredible military strengths.
Have you seen our new weapons lately? My God, you're not even seeing anything close to the best stuff we got. We will surprise the world with enormous military strengths.
Now the unfortunate thing, of course, is we're using that military on each other sometimes. That's unfortunate. I was in Dubai in May catching a flight from hotel to the airport. I dozed off, and I woke up, and the driver said, are you from China? I said, yes. I was ready to pay him. He said, Chinese, free. I said, why? Guy's from Pakistan. Our fighter jets shot down three Indian Rafales on that day. Amazing, nobody expected this. But unfortunately, we used it on each other. That's not good. Right now, between our close, dear neighbors, Thailand and Cambodia, using it on each other. We and India, very unfortunate, we're not using weapons, we're using fists and sticks. But that's, I think, calmed down. Three days ago, our Navy just locked a Japanese fighter jet, or maybe two or three of them. In military terms, locking means you've already been shot down. So we're using on each other, why?
The second characteristic about Asia is we're very diverse. And as we all know, diversity is a strength, but also a challenge. And the United States falls apart because of diversity. Europe has fallen apart because of diversity within. We are diverse. So I find it very interesting that when our General Secretary, Xi Jinping, visited Malaysia a few months ago, they announced a civilizational dialogue between Confucianism and Islam. I think it's very important. We, China and Islam, I think will be one of the most important critical relationships in this new world. And we're just beginning this dialogue, how we in China and Islam are very close now, strategically, value drive, value in terms, so we're diverse.
And in Asia, pluralistic, very different amongst us, but we do share one thing in common among us, that we don't want to be told what to do. We don't want a hegemon telling us how to run our politics, how to treat our women, who should marry whom, how many sexes you have in your countries. We don't want that. We want Islam to be Islam. We want China to be Confucian or Socialists, whatever we decide. So we share that in common. So can we build through these kind of dialogues, can we build a truly diverse and multipolar way of globalization? So look forward to hearing everyone's views. Thank you.
- 原标题:2025:“小院高墙”崩塌,多极世界启幕——李世默解析全球多极化和亚洲新挑战 本文仅代表作者个人观点。
- 责任编辑: 李泠 
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